Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.588332 1.812748 2.059017 2.349562 2.683296 3.055025 3.501010
2025-09-07 1.307123 1.612220 1.974943 2.438975 3.018357 3.719867 4.636709
2025-09-14 1.095659 1.441280 1.880496 2.481859 3.287461 4.334511 5.806966
2025-09-21 0.921510 1.280401 1.763137 2.463722 3.460980 4.839290 6.905628
2025-09-28 0.767438 1.117831 1.612838 2.368504 3.502683 5.157026 7.781158
2025-10-05 0.703224 1.069596 1.611056 2.477177 3.842615 5.936835 9.439022
2025-10-12 0.652938 1.032942 1.618096 2.594978 4.206110 6.794233 11.339640
2025-10-19 0.597433 0.979406 1.589931 2.649646 4.471017 7.523864 13.133161
2025-10-26 0.548295 0.928911 1.558609 2.691852 4.715930 8.245998 15.013094
2025-11-02 0.487177 0.850253 1.469962 2.622439 4.754183 8.609353 16.292668
2025-11-09 0.424893 0.761900 1.353725 2.487922 4.654353 8.705318 17.074229
2025-11-16 0.387131 0.712830 1.300981 2.461936 4.750837 9.174459 18.644865
2025-11-23 0.349231 0.660336 1.238078 2.412878 4.804242 9.582771 20.189766
2025-11-30 0.334706 0.650428 1.253930 2.519465 5.182393 10.691808 23.392322
2025-12-07 0.315041 0.628173 1.243241 2.571072 5.454256 11.619635 26.353856
2025-12-14 0.290409 0.593098 1.202931 2.555732 5.580902 12.253778 28.752032
2025-12-21 0.260644 0.544129 1.128731 2.458408 5.513730 12.449304 30.146256
2025-12-28 0.252984 0.540825 1.149563 2.572225 5.939208 13.825147 34.653001
2026-01-04 0.246386 0.539009 1.173223 2.695181 6.402707 15.356668 39.821065
2026-01-11 0.234971 0.525221 1.168874 2.752266 6.715485 16.567307 44.360914
2026-01-18 0.223503 0.510033 1.159612 2.796286 7.001739 17.752418 49.041281
2026-01-25 0.205195 0.477040 1.105673 2.724102 6.982343 18.147198 51.573077
2026-02-01 0.184393 0.436002 1.028466 2.584150 6.767072 17.992377 52.484852